Welcome to our Remarkable season preview series for the 2021 season. The Blue Jays made a big splash in signing George Springer to a long term deal. With their young core, can they make it back to the Postseason?

 

2020 Record: 32-28 (3rd in AL East)

 

Blue Jays Hitters

 

George Springer

  • George Springer has 24 home runs when leading off an inning since 2019 — most in MLB

  • George Springer is slugging .708 (204 total bases in 288 ABs) on fastballs against RHP since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB
  • George Springer is slugging .576 (385 total bases in 668 ABs) since 2019 — 6th best in MLB
  • George Springer has 53 HRs in just 668 ABs (12.6 AB/HR) since 2019 — 6th best AB per HR rate in MLB
  • George Springer has an OBP of .432 (190 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since 2019 — 11th best among 127 in MLB
  • George Springer has chased just 21% of breaking pitches out of the zone (110/521) since 2019 — 13th lowest among 127 in MLB

 

Marcus Semien

  • Marcus Semien has 13 HRs in just 152 ABs with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2019 season — 10th best AB per HR rate in MLB; League Avg: 20.6 AB’s Per HR
  • Marcus Semien has 53 strikeouts in 397 PA’s versus relief pitchers since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%
  • Marcus Semien has an OPS of 1.105 against left-handed relievers since the start of the 2019 season — 11th best among 127 in MLB; League Avg:.815
  • Marcus Semien has 21 extra-base hits out of 35 total hits on elevated fastballs since the start of 2018 — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%
  • Marcus Semien is slugging.529 on high 95 MPH+ pitches since the start of 2018 — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .368

 

Bo Bichette

  • Bo Bichette chased 43% of pitches out of the zone (104/244) in the 2020 season — 5th highest in MLB 
  • Bo Bichette had a swing rate of 57% (269/472) in the 2020 season — 12th highest in MLB

 

Cavan Biggio

  • Cavan Biggio has chased just 15% of non-fastballs out of the zone down (75/483) since 2019 — tied for lowest in MLB

  • Cavan Biggio has a swing rate of just 36% (1,080/2,982) since 2019 — 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Cavan Biggio is batting just .163 (21-for-129) on breaking pitches since 2019 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Cavan Biggio has drawn 112 walks in 695 PA’s (16%) since 2019 — tied for 7th best in MLB
  • Cavan Biggio is batting just .083 (9-for-108) on pitches out of the zone since 2019 — 2nd lowest in MLB
  • Cavan Biggio is slugging .884 (107 total bases in 121 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since 2019 — 12th best among 127 in MLB

 

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is slugging .629 (83 total bases in 132 ABs) on breaking pitches against RHP since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is slugging .607 (105 total bases in 173 ABs) against LHP since 2019 — 13th best in MLB
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .307 (55-for-179) on breaking pitches since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB

 

Teoscar Hernandez

  • Teoscar Hernandez is batting just .178 (27-for-152) on sliders since 2019 — 11th lowest in MLB
  • Teoscar Hernandez has 216 strikeouts in 671 PA’s (32%) since 2019 — 15th highest in MLB 
  • Teoscar Hernandez is slugging .632 (84 total bases in 133 ABs) with runners in scoring position since 2019 — 8th best in MLB

 

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting just .298 (39-for-131) in hitter’s counts since 2019 — tied for 8th lowest in MLB
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a groundball rate of 53% (140/264) on fastballs since 2019 — 6th highest in MLB
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has driven in 66 runs versus relief pitchers since 2019 — tied for 13th most 643 in MLB

 

Rowdy Tellez

  • Rowdy Tellez has chased 48% of non-fastballs out of the zone down (239/501) since 2019 — 9th highest in MLB
  • Rowdy Tellez has 24 extra-base hits out of 33 total hits (73%) on inside pitches since 2019 — best in MLB
  • Rowdy Tellez is batting just .145 (16-for-110) on low breaking pitches since 2019 — tied for 13th lowest in MLB

 

Danny Jansen

  • Danny Jansen is batting just .201 (94-for-467) since 2019 — tied for 12th lowest in MLB
  • 16% of Danny Jansen’s plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (85/531 PA’s) since 2019 — tied for 13th highest in MLB

 

Bench

 

Reese McGuire

 

Santiago Espinal

 

Derek Fisher

 

Randal Grichuk

  • Randal Grichuk has 21 extra-base hits out of 30 total hits (70%) on elevated pitches since 2019 — best in MLB
  • Randal Grichuk has an OBP of just .273 (589 PA’s) against RHP since 2019 — 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Randal Grichuk is slugging .663 (67 total bases in 101 ABs) on fastballs against LHP since 2019 — 12th best in MLB

 

 

Projected Starting Rotation

 

Hyun Jin Ryu

  • Hyun Jin Ryu has an ERA of 2.42 (249.2 IP) since 2019 — tied for best in MLB

  • Opponents are hitting just .190 (33-for-174) against Hyun Jin Ryu with runners in scoring position since 2019 — 8th best in MLB 
  • Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed an OPS of just .496 (462 PA’s) on non-fastballs since 2019 — 8th best in MLB 
  • Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed an OPS of just .626 (998 PA’s) since 2019 — 12th best in MLB
  • Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (376/717) against Hyun Jin Ryu since 2019 — 15th highest in MLB
  • Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed an OPS of just .546 (229 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB 

 

Robbie Ray

  • Robbie Ray has walked 129 of 998 batters (13%) since 2019 — highest in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting .398 (131-for-329) against Robbie Ray in non-two strike counts since 2019 — 6th highest in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (599/1,826) against Robbie Ray since 2019 — 11th best in MLB
  • Robbie Ray has 52 three-pitch strikeouts since 2019 — tied for 15th most among 837 pitchers in MLB

 

Nate Pearson

 

Tanner Roark

  • Tanner Roark has allowed an OPS of 1.054 (222 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since 2019 — highest in MLB
  • Hitters have chased just 132 of Tanner Roark’s 544 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 24%) since 2019 — 2nd lowest in MLB
  • Tanner Roark has allowed an OPS of .850 (942 PA’s) since 2019 — 14th highest in MLB
  • Tanner Roark has a strike rate of just 61% (2,377/3,893) since 2019 — tied for 11th lowest in MLB
  • Tanner Roark has allowed 42 home runs since 2019 — tied for 7th most among pitchers in MLB

 

Steven Matz

  • Opponents are hitting just.280 against Steven Matz when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2018 — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: .345
  • Opponents have a groundball batting average of just.204 against Steven Matz with runners on base since the start of 2018 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: .250

 

Projected Bullpen

 

Kirby Yates

  • Kirby Yates has a strikeout rate of 44% versus the heart of the order since the start of 2018 — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24%
  • Kirby Yates has an ERA of 1.94 since the start of the 2019 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.08
  • Kirby Yates has allowed a slugging percentage of just.281 since the start of 2018 — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .388
  • Kirby Yates has struck out 40% of left-handed batters he faced since the start of the 2019 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25%
  • Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% against Kirby Yates since the start of 2018 — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27%

 

Jordan Romano

  • Jordan Romano threw his slider 60% of the time (142/237) in the 2020 season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Jordan Romano allowed an OBP of just .228 (57 PA’s) in the 2020 season — tied for 13th best among among 232 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% (16/24) against Jordan Romano on sliders in the 2020 season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Rafael Dolis

  • Rafael Dolis has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.0 innings he’s appeared 
  • Opponents had a miss rate of 52% (39/75) against Rafael Dolis on non-fastballs in the 2020 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents had a Well-Hit Avg of just .039 (2/51) against Rafael Dolis with two-strikes in the 2020 season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Hitters swung at 39% of Rafael Dolis’ fastballs (98/253) in the 2020 season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Ross Stripling

  • Ross Stripling has a first-pitch strike rate of 67% (394/592) since 2019 — 10th highest in MLB 
  • Ross Stripling has thrown off-speed pitches 59% of the time (1,345/2,260) since 2019 — 6th highest in MLB 
  • Ross Stripling has allowed an OBP of .381 (194 PA’s) versus the heart of the order since 2019 — 12th highest in MLB 

 

Tyler Chatwood

  • Tyler Chatwood has induced opposing hitters to ground into 17 double plays in 90 opportunities19% since the start of the 2019 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10%
  • Tyler Chatwood has a strikeout rate of 53% on low non-fastballs since the start of the 2019 season — 11th best among among 128 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38%
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just.130 against Tyler Chatwood since the start of 2018 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: .168
  • Opponents are hitting just.137 against Tyler Chatwood on sliders since the start of the 2019 season — 12th best among among 106 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .198

 

Julian Merryweather

 

Ryan Borucki

 

Thomas Hatch

  • Right-handed hitters had a Well-Hit Avg of .278 (15/54) against Thomas Hatch in the 2020 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Thomas Hatch allowed an OPS of 1.136 (40 PA’s) versus the heart of the order in the 2020 season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents batted just .183 (13-for-71) against Thomas Hatch on pitches in the strike zone in the 2020 season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Shun Yamaguchi

 

Anthony Kay

  • Anthony Kay allowed a slugging percentage of .620 (31 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on fastballs in the 2020 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Anthony Kay had a strike rate of just 57% (234/409) in the 2020 season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Anthony Kay allowed an OPS of .965 (47 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2020 season — 12th highest among among 109 qualified RPs in MLB

 

Trent Thornton

  • Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (125/378) against Trent Thornton on pitches in the strike zone since 2019 — highest in MLB 
  • Trent Thornton has a strike rate of just 61% (1,772/2,890) since 2019 — 15th lowest in MLB
  • Right-handed batters are hitting .288 (89-for-309) against Trent Thornton since 2019 — tied for 12th highest in MLB

 

 

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