2021 Remarkable! Season Preview — New York Mets

by | Feb 16, 2021 | Baseball, Fantasy

 

Welcome to our Remarkable season preview series for the 2021 season. The Mets made one of the biggest splashes this offseason when they acquired Francisco Lindor from Cleveland. With a strong lineup and one of the best pitchers in baseball, can the Mets make it to the playoffs for the first time since 2016.

 

2020 Record: 26-34 (4th in NL East)

 

Mets Hitters

 

Brandon Nimmo

  • Brandon Nimmo has chased just 11% of elevated fastballs out of the zone (28/257) since 2019 — 10th lowest in MLB
  • Brandon Nimmo has drawn 79 walks in 479 PA’s (17%) since 2019 — tied for 4th best in MLB 
  • Brandon Nimmo has chased just 17% of pitches out of the zone (178/1,027) since 2019 — 7th lowest in MLB
  • Brandon Nimmo has an OBP of .389 (479 PA’s) since 2019 — 11th best in MLB 
  • Brandon Nimmo has seen fastballs 59% of the time (1,222/2,064) since 2019 — 8th highest in MLB

 

Jeff McNeil

  • Jeff McNeil has 15 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats since 2019 — tied for most in MLB
  • Jeff McNeil is batting .349 (90-for-258) with runners on base since 2019 — 4th best in MLB

  • Jeff McNeil has an OBP of .384 (776 PA’s) since 2019 — tied for 13th best among 127 in MLB
  • Jeff McNeil has chased 50% of pitches out of the zone (119/239) on changeups since 2019 — 7th highest in MLB
  • Jeff McNeil has seen 8+ pitches in 45 PA’s since 2019 — 3rd most in MLB
  • Jeff McNeil is batting .316 (219-for-693) since 2019 — 4th best in MLB
  • Jeff McNeil is slugging .537 (176 total bases in 328 ABs) on low pitches since 2019 — 4th best in MLB

 

Pete Alonso

  • Pete Alonso is slugging .696 (80 total bases in 115 ABs) on pitches 95 mph or greater since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB
  • Pete Alonso has an OPS of .988 (363 PA’s) versus relief pitchers since 2019 — 7th best in MLB
  • Pete Alonso is batting just .244 (90-for-369) with runners on base since 2019 — 13th lowest among 127 in MLB
  • Pete Alonso has 69 home runs since 2019 — most in MLB

  • Pete Alonso has 79 extra-base hits out of 154 total hits (51%) against RHP since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
  • Pete Alonso has chased 49% of pitches out of the zone (110/223) on changeups since 2019 — 8th highest in MLB
  • Pete Alonso has driven in 155 runs since 2019 — 5th most in MLB

 

Francisco Lindor

  • Francisco Lindor has missed on just 16% of swings (105/661) on outside pitches since 2019 — 5th best in MLB
  • Francisco Lindor has an OBP of just .294 (205 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since 2019 — 6th lowest in MLB
  • Francisco Lindor has seen 8+ pitches in 44 PA’s since 2019 — tied for 4th most in MLB
  • Francisco Lindor has made 27 non-routine plays since 2019 — 8th most in MLB
  • Francisco Lindor has chased 42% of pitches out of the zone (143/342) on sliders since 2019 — 15th highest among 127 in MLB

 

Michael Conforto

  • Michael Conforto has an OBP of .394 (602 PA’s) against RHP since 2019 — tied for 9th best in MLB
  • Michael Conforto has 21 home runs on inside pitches since 2019 — tied for most in MLB
  • Michael Conforto has 42 strikeouts lasting 3 pitches since 2019 — tied for 4th most in MLB
  • Michael Conforto has an OPS of 1.454 (170 PA’s) when ahead in the count since 2019 — 13th best among 127 in MLB
  • Michael Conforto is batting just .122 (6-for-49) on breaking balls down and away since 2019 — 13th lowest among 105 in MLB
  • Michael Conforto is batting just .203 (27-for-133) on fastballs away since 2019 — 9th lowest in MLB

 

J.D. Davis

  • J.D. Davis is slugging just .105 (9 total bases in 86 ABs) on elevated pitches since 2019 — lowest in MLB
  • J.D. Davis is slugging .565 (177 total bases in 313 ABs) on low pitches since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB

  • J.D. Davis is batting .433 (42-for-97) in hitter’s counts since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
  • J.D. Davis has missed on 29% of swings (207/719) on fastballs since 2019 — tied for 4th highest in MLB
  • J.D. Davis is batting .312 (59-for-189) with two outs since 2019 — tied for 7th best in MLB

 

Dominic Smith

  • Dominic Smith has an OPS of .937 (396 PA’s) since 2019 — 13th best in MLB 
  • Dominic Smith is slugging .571 (202 total bases in 354 ABs) since 2019 — 12th best in MLB 
  • Dominic Smith batted .356 (31-for-87) on non-fastballs in the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB
  • Dominic Smith had 17 extra-base hits out of 24 total hits (71%) on fastballs in the 2020 season — best in MLB

 

James McCann

  • James McCann is slugging just .279 (69 total bases in 247 ABs) on outside pitches since 2019 — 4th lowest in MLB
  • James McCann has chased 41% of breaking pitches out of the zone (190/460) since 2019 — 14th highest in MLB
  • James McCann has a Well-Hit Avg of .184 (60/326) with two-strikes since 2019 — 5th best in MLB

 

Bench

 

Tomas Nido

 

Luis Guilorme

 

Jonathan Villar

  • Jonathan Villar is slugging just .199 (88 total bases in 443 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB
  • Jonathan Villar has a groundball rate of 52% (178/342) on fastballs since the start of the 2019 season — 9th highest in MLB
  • Jonathan Villar has stolen 56 bases since the start of the 2019 season — 2nd most in MLB
  • Jonathan Villar is batting just .117 (15-for-128) on elevated fastballs since the start of the 2019 season — 4th lowest in MLB

 

Albert Almora Jr.

  • Albert Almora has an OBP of just .270 (397 PA’s) since the start of the 2019 season — 12th lowest in MLB
  • Albert Almora has 144 quality ABs out of 397 total (36% QAB rate) since the start of the 2019 season — 7th lowest in MLB

 

Jose Martinez

  • Jose Martinez has a Well-Hit Avg of just .009 (1/111) on breaking balls down and away since the start of 2018 — 5th lowest in MLB
  • Jose Martinez has 53 extra-base hits out of 204 total hits (just 26%) against RHP since the start of 2018 — 10th lowest in MLB 
  • Jose Martinez has a groundball rate of 51% (207/409) on fastballs since the start of 2018 — 14th highest in MLB

 

Projected Starting Rotation

 

Jacob deGrom

  • Jacob deGrom has an ERA of 2.42 (272.0 IP) since 2019 — tied for best in MLB 
  • Jacob deGrom has thrown fastballs up 52% of the time (1,119/2,144) since 2019 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB
  • Jacob deGrom has allowed an OPS of just .617 (395 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB 
  • itters have chased 291 of Jacob deGrom’s 642 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 45%) since 2019 — 5th highest in MLB
  • Hitters have chased 417 of Jacob deGrom’s 939 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 44%) since 2019 — highest in MLB 

  • Jacob deGrom has allowed an OPS of just .542 (584 PA’s) against right-handed batters since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .241 (154-for-638) against Jacob deGrom on pitches in the strike zone since 2019 — 8th best in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .191 (35-for-183) against Jacob deGrom with runners in scoring position since 2019 — tied for 9th best in MLB

 

Marcus Stroman

  • Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .236 (56 Total Bases / 237 ABs) on breaking pitches since 2019 — 4th best in MLB 
  • Marcus Stroman has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (440/776) since 2019 — tied for 9th lowest in MLB
  • Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (152/240) against Marcus Stroman’s fastball since 2019 — 2nd highest in MLB 

 

Carlos Carrasco

  • Opponents are hitting .438 (32-for-73) against Carlos Carrasco on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2019 season — 11th highest in MLB 
  • Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (196/590) against Carlos Carrasco since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 12th best in MLB
  • Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .949 (222 PA’s) versus the heart of the order since the start of the 2019 season — 11th highest in MLB 
  • Opponents are hitting just .137 (20-for-146) against Carlos Carrasco’s low curves and sliders since the start of the 2019 season — 15th best in MLB 
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 54% (153/283) against Carlos Carrasco on low breaking pitches since the start of the 2019 season — 7th best in MLB

 

Seth Lugo

  • Seth Lugo has allowed a slugging percentage of .571 (32 Total Bases / 56 ABs) on sliders since 2019 — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Seth Lugo has recorded 110 of his 151 strikeouts (73%) with his fastball since 2019 — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Seth Lugo has walked 26 of 474 batters (6%) since 2019 — tied for 12th best among among 182 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Seth Lugo has allowed an OPS of just .496 (151 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since 2019 — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Noah Syndergaard

  • Noah Syndergaard has allowed an OPS of just .647 (302 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 9th best in MLB 
  • Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 20% (81/397) against Noah Syndergaard since 2019 — 10th highest in MLB 
  • Noah Syndergaard has an average fastball velocity of 97.6 MPH since 2019 — highest in MLB

  • Noah Syndergaard has a strike rate of 68% (2,093/3,095) since 2019 — tied for 7th highest in MLB
  • Noah Syndergaard has allowed 42 stolen bases since 2019 — most in MLB

 

Joey Lucchesi

 

Projected Bullpen

 

Edwin Diaz

  • Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (182/542) against Edwin Diaz on pitches in the strike zone since 2019 — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (177/486) against Edwin Diaz on fastballs since 2019 — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Edwin Diaz has struck out 39% (80/207) of right-handed batters he faced since 2019 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Edwin Diaz has allowed an OBP of just .267 (120 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Trevor May

  • Hitters have chased just 68 of Trevor May’s 339 off-speed pitches out of the zone (20%) since 2019 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (128/265) against Trevor May on elevated fastballs since 2019 — best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .104 (21-for-201) against Trevor May with two-strikes since 2019 — tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Trevor May has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (23 Total Bases / 100 ABs) on elevated fastballs since 2019 — 13th best among among 111 qualified RPs in MLB

 

Miguel Castro

  • Opponents are hitting .349 (61-for-175) against Miguel Castro’s fastball since 2019 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Miguel Castro has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (181/332) of opposing batters since 2019 — tied for 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Miguel Castro has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (259/614) vs left-handed batters since 2019 — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .025 (2/79) against low curveballs from Miguel Castro since 2019 — best among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Dellin Betances

  • Dellin Betances has not allowed a home run in any of the last 29.1 innings he’s appeared — Ian Anderson has the longest active streak at 45.2.

 

Jeurys Familia

  • Jeurys Familia has allowed an OBP of .399 (138 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Hitters have swung at 42% of Jeurys Familia’s pitches (628/1,496) since 2019 — tied for 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Brad Brach

  • Brad Brach has walked 45 of 300 batters (15%) since 2019 — tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Brad Brach has allowed an OBP of .375 (299 PA’s) since 2019 — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Brad Brach has located his changeup inside 41% of the time (101/247) since 2019 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Jacob Barnes

  • Opponents batted .326 (15-for-46) against Jacob Barnes’ non-fastballs in the 2020 season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents had a chase percentage of 45% (44/97) against Jacob Barnes on sliders in the 2020 season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Jacob Barnes threw his slider 53% of the time (165/309) in the 2020 season — tied for 14th highest among among 183 qualified RPs in MLB

 

Robert Gsellman

  • Opponents had a Well-Hit Avg of just .143 (26/182) against Robert Gsellman on pitches in the strike zone last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Robert Gsellman allowed an OBP of .366 (101 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order last season — tied for 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Right-handed hitters had a Well-Hit Avg of just .118 (18/153) against Robert Gsellman last season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB

 

David Peterson

  • Opponents batted just .084 (7-for-83) against David Peterson with two-strikes in the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB 
  • David Peterson threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (63/123) of opposing batters right-handed hitters in the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Opponents batted just .119 (7-for-59) against David Peterson on sliders in the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB 
  • David Peterson threw his fastball for a strike just 58% (252/432) of the time in the 2020 season — 7th lowest in MLB 

 

Aaron Loup

 

 

 

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