Welcome to our Remarkable season preview series for the 2021 season. Washington had quite a disappointing short season in 2020. Juan Soto is one of the most electric young players in the game. Can he and a strong starting rotation get them back into the playoffs?

 

2020 Record: 26-34 (4th in NL East)

 

Nationals Hitters

 

Trea Turner

  • Trea Turner has a groundball batting average of .343 (99 GB hits out of 289 GBs) since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB
  • Trea Turner is batting .322 (55-for-171) with two outs since 2019 — 4th best in MLB
  • Trea Turner has an OBP of .396 (192 PA’s) against LHP since 2019 — tied for 14th best in MLB 
  • Trea Turner is slugging .642 (138 total bases in 215 ABs) on inside pitches since 2019 — 8th best in MLB

 

Juan Soto

  • Juan Soto has an OPS of 1.002 (855 PA’s) since 2019 — 4th best in MLB
  • Juan Soto has an OPS of 1.039 (578 PA’s) against RHP since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB

  • Juan Soto has chased just 17% of breaking pitches out of the zone (104/618) since 2019 — 4th lowest in MLB
  • Juan Soto is slugging .580 (404 total bases in 696 ABs) since 2019 — 5th best in MLB
  • Juan Soto is slugging .628 (123 total bases in 196 ABs) on elevated pitches since 2019 — 8th best in MLB
  • Juan Soto has drawn 149 walks in 855 PA’s (17%) since 2019 — best in MLB
  • Juan Soto has 459 quality ABs out of 855 total (54% QAB rate) since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB
  • Juan Soto is batting .500 (43-for-86) on the first pitch of at-bats since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB
  • Juan Soto has an OBP of .323 (464 PA’s) with two-strikes since 2019 — 9th best in MLB

 

Josh Bell

  • Josh Bell is batting just .212 (41-for-193) against LHP since 2019 — 9th lowest in MLB
  • Josh Bell has missed on 40% of swings (128/319) on changeups since 2019 — 8th highest in MLB
  • Josh Bell is batting .328 (40-for-122) on elevated fastballs since 2019 — 7th best in MLB
  • Josh Bell has 50 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (53%) on fastballs against RHP since 2019 — 10th best in MLB
  • Josh Bell has come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 249 of his 836 plate appearances (30%) since 2019 — 7th highest in MLB
  • Josh Bell has 54 extra-base hits out of 109 total hits (49%) on fastballs since 2019 — 14th best among 127 in MLB

 

Kyle Schwarber

  • Kyle Schwarber has 16 home runs on pitches 95 mph or greater since the start of the 2019 season — 2nd most in MLB

  • Kyle Schwarber is batting just .179 (37-for-207) on breaking pitches since the start of the 2019 season — 8th lowest in MLB
  • Kyle Schwarber is slugging .576 (152 total bases in 264 ABs) with runners on base since the start of the 2019 season — 11th best among 127 in MLB
  • Kyle Schwarber has 74 extra-base hits out of 133 total hits (56%) against RHP since the start of the 2019 season — 3rd best in MLB

 

Starlin Castro

  • Starlin Castro has an OBP of just .277 (548 PA’s) against RHP since 2019 — 4th lowest in MLB
  • Starlin Castro has seen fastballs 56% of the time (1,133/2,028) against RHP since 2019 — tied for 11th highest among 127 in MLB
  • Starlin Castro is batting .339 (61-for-180) against LHP since 2019 — 10th best in MLB
  • Starlin Castro has drawn 31 walks in 739 PA’s (4%) since 2019 — 6th lowest in MLB
  • Starlin Castro has chased 52% of pitches out of the zone (218/422) with two-strikes since 2019 — 10th highest in MLB
  • Starlin Castro has an OPS of just .737 (739 PA’s) since 2019 — 15th lowest among 127 in MLB

 

Yan Gomes

  • Yan Gomes has a Well-Hit Avg of just .085 (8/94) on elevated fastballs since 2019 — tied for 6th lowest in MLB 
  • Yan Gomes has 11 extra-base hits out of 22 total hits (50%) on low fastballs since 2019 — tied for 13th best in MLB
  • Yan Gomes has blocked 96% of balls in the dirt (867/906 since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB

 

Victor Robles

  • Victor Robles has a Well-Hit Avg of just .115 (82/714) since 2019 — 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Victor Robles has an OPS of just .713 (806 PA’s) since 2019 — 7th lowest in MLB
  • Victor Robles is slugging just .384 (140 total bases in 365 ABs) on fastballs since 2019 — 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Victor Robles has made 95% of defensive plays since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB

 

Carter Kieboom

  • Carter Kieboom slugged just .212 (21 total bases in 99 ABs) in the 2020 season — 4th lowest in MLB
  • Carter Kieboom had 1 extra-base hit out of 20 total hits (just 5%) in the 2020 season — lowest in MLB
  • Carter Kieboom had a Well-Hit Avg of just .071 (7/99) in the 2020 season — 7th lowest in MLB

 

Bench

 

Alex Avila

 

Ryan Zimmerman

 

Josh Harrison

 

Gerrardo Parra

 

Luis Garcia

  • Luis Garcia batted .476 (10-for-21) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2020 season — 12th best in MLB 
  • Luis Garcia had a groundball rate of 62% (65/105) in the 2020 season — 7th highest in MLB

 

Andrew Stevenson

 

 

Projected Starting Rotation

 

Max Scherzer

  • Max Scherzer has allowed an OPS of just .554 (508 PA’s) against right-handed batters since 2019 — 4th best in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (150/399) against Max Scherzer on elevated fastballs since 2019 — 5th best in MLB 
  • Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 54% (335 SO in 626 PAs) with two-strikes since 2019 — 7th best in MLB
  • Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (269/605) against Max Scherzer on sliders since 2019 — tied for 3rd highest in MLB
  • Hitters have chased 479 of Max Scherzer’s 1,205 off-speed pitches out of the zone (40%) since 2019 — 13th highest in MLB
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .094 (28/298) against Max Scherzer on sliders since 2019 — 10th best in MLB
  • Max Scherzer has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 9 double plays in 141 opportunities (6%) since 2019 — tied for 13th lowest in MLB
  • Max Scherzer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (550/757) of opposing batters since 2019 — 2nd highest in MLB

 

Patrick Corbin

  • Hitters have chased 521 of Patrick Corbin’s 1,180 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 44%) since 2019 — 2nd highest in MLB

  • Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (447/949) against Patrick Corbin on breaking pitches since 2019 — tied for 3rd best in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .146 (50-for-342) against Patrick Corbin on low non-fastballs since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (59/296) against Patrick Corbin on elevated fastballs since 2019 — 12th lowest in MLB
  • Patrick Corbin has thrown his slider 37% of the time (1,625/4,367) since 2019 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB

 

Stephen Strasburg

  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .051 (9/175) against changeups from Stephen Strasburg since 2019 — best in MLB

  • Stephen Strasburg has allowed an OBP of just .271 (299 PA’s) versus the heart of the order since 2019 — 10th best in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .130 (61-for-468) against Stephen Strasburg with two-strikes since 2019 — 12th best in MLB
  • Stephen Strasburg has allowed an OPS of just .472 (443 PA’s) on non-fastballs since 2019 — 6th best in MLB 
  • Stephen Strasburg has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (299/863) on the first pitch of at-bats since 2019 — 3rd highest in MLB
  • Opponents have a chase percentage of 34% (656/1,902) against Stephen Strasburg since 2019 — 4th highest in MLB
  • Stephen Strasburg has allowed a slugging percentage of just .354 (280 Total Bases / 790 ABs) since 2019 — 14th best in MLB 
  • Hitters have chased 245 of Stephen Strasburg’s 543 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 45%) since 2019 — 8th highest in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 45% (174/388) against Stephen Strasburg on changeups since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB

 

Erick Fedde

  • Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (65/622) against Erick Fedde on pitches in the strike zone since 2019 — lowest in MLB
  • Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (228/427) against Erick Fedde since 2019 — 11th highest in MLB
  • Erick Fedde has located his fastball low 56% of the time (659/1,181) since 2019 — 3rd highest in MLB
  • Hitters have chased just 115 of Erick Fedde’s 607 fastballs out of the zone (19%) since 2019 — 13th lowest in MLB

 

Jon Lester

  • Opponents are hitting .454 (49-for-108) against Jon Lester on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2019 season — 8th highest in MLB 
  • Jon Lester has located his fastballs down 46% of the time (725/1,594) since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 13th highest in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting .286 (269-for-942) against Jon Lester since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 13th highest in MLB
  • Hitters have chased just 104 of Jon Lester’s 401 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 26%) since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB

 

Joe Ross

 

Projected Bullpen

 

Brad Hand

  • Brad Hand has allowed an OBP of just .221 (113 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of the 2019 season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (52/186) against Brad Hand since the start of the 2019 season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Brad Hand has thrown his slider 53% of the time (699/1,309) since the start of the 2019 season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Tanner Rainey

  • Opponents are hitting just .089 (8-for-90) against Tanner Rainey’s non-fastballs since 2019 — best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Tanner Rainey has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (15 Total Bases / 90 ABs) on non-fastballs since 2019 — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (64/153) against Tanner Rainey on elevated fastballs since 2019 — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (239/565) against Tanner Rainey since 2019 — best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .090 (8-for-89) against Tanner Rainey on sliders since 2019 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Daniel Hudson

  • Opponents are hitting just .130 (15-for-115) against Daniel Hudson versus the bottom of the order since 2019 — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Daniel Hudson has allowed an OPS of 1.001 (135 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .111 (9-for-81) against Daniel Hudson’s elevated fastball since 2019 — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Daniel Hudson has thrown fastballs 77% of the time (305/395) on the first pitch of at-bats since 2019 — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Will Harris

  • Will Harris has an ERA of 1.85 (77.2 IP) since 2019 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Will Harris has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 54% (256/473) of the time since 2019 — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Will Harris has walked 5 of 162 left-handed batters (3%) since 2019 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (20/71) against Will Harris on breaking pitches since 2019 — 12th highest among among 122 qualified RPs in MLB

 

Wander Suero

  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .076 (8/105) against Wander Suero on non-fastballs since 2019 — 11th best among among 149 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (68/247) against Wander Suero since 2019 — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Wander Suero has allowed a slugging percentage of just .397 (23 Total Bases / 58 ABs) when behind in the count since 2019 — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Kyle Finnegan

  • Opponents had a Well-Hit Avg of just .111 (7/63) against Kyle Finnegan’s fastball in the 2020 season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents had a Well-Hit Avg of just .036 (2/56) against Kyle Finnegan with two-strikes in the 2020 season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Kyle Finnegan threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 74% (63/85) of opposing batters in the 2020 season — tied for 15th highest among among 232 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents had a miss rate of 51% (24/47) against Kyle Finnegan on sliders in the 2020 season — 15th best among among 115 qualified RPs in MLB

 

Kyle McGowin

 

Luis Avilan

 

Austin Voth

  • Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 28% (22/79) against Austin Voth in the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB
  • Austin Voth allowed an OPS of .923 (225 PA’s) in the 2020 season — 10th highest in MLB
  • Left-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 17% (32/194) against Austin Voth in the 2020 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB

 

 

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