Welcome to our Remarkable season preview series for the 2021 season. The Padres acquired Blake Snell, Yu Darvish, and Joe Musgrove to totally reshape their 2021 starting rotation.
2020 Record: 37-23 (2nd in NL West)
Padres Hitters
Trent Grisham
- Trent Grisham slugged .974 (37 total bases in 38 ABs) when the pitcher was behind in the count in 2020 — 9th best in MLB
- Trent Grisham had a swing rate of just 38% (401/1,048) in 2020 — 14th lowest among 159 in MLB
- Trent Grisham batted just .098 (5-for-51) on pitches out of the zone in 2020 — 12th lowest in MLB
Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. is slugging .583 (70 total bases in 120 ABs) on sliders since 2019 — 4th best in MLB
- Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .466 (41-for-88) on the first pitch of at-bats since 2019 — 8th best in MLB
- Fernando Tatis Jr. is slugging 1.000 (102 total bases in 102 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB
Manny Machado
- Manny Machado is slugging .644 (123 total bases in 191 ABs) against LHP since 2019 — 4th best in MLB
- Manny Machado has driven in 52 runs with two outs since 2019 — tied for 10th most in MLB
- Manny Machado has 10 home runs on low breaking pitches since 2019 — tied for 2nd most in MLB
Eric Hosmer
- Eric Hosmer is slugging just .332 (68 total bases in 205 ABs) against LHP since 2019 — 7th lowest in MLB
- Eric Hosmer is batting .330 (36-for-109) on changeups since 2019 — 8th best in MLB
- Eric Hosmer has a Well-Hit Avg of .231 (69/299) on outside pitches since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
Tommy Pham
- Tommy Pham has an OBP of .457 (232 PA’s) against LHP since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB
- Tommy Pham is slugging just .437 (156 total bases in 357 ABs) on fastballs since 2019 — 11th lowest among 127 in MLB
- Tommy Pham has chased just 17% of pitches out of the zone (159/916) on low pitches since 2019 — 5th lowest in MLB
Wil Myers
- Wil Myers slugged .708 (68 total bases in 96 ABs) on non-fastballs in 2020 — best in MLB
- Wil Myers batted .338 (27-for-80) with two outs in 2020 — tied for 4th best in MLB
- Wil Myers slugged .901 (82 total bases in 91 ABs) in non-two strike counts in the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB
Ha-Seong Kim
2020 KBO Stats: .306/.397/.523
Austin Nola
- Austin Nola batted just .192 (10-for-52) against LHP in 2020 — tied for 5th lowest in MLB
- Austin Nola had an OBP of .407 (108 PA’s) against starting pitchers in 2020 — 13th best in MLB
- Austin Nola chased just 17% of pitches out of the zone (60/349) in 2020 — 12th lowest among 159 in MLB
Projected Bench
Victor Caratini
Jake Cronenworth
- Jake Cronenworth pulled just 38% of balls he’s put into play (54/143) in 2020 — tied for 10th lowest in MLB
- Jake Cronenworth missed on just 17% of swings (50/301) in 2020 — tied for 12th best among 159 in MLB
- Jake Cronenworth had 20 extra-base hits out of 37 total hits (54%) against RHP in 2020 — 8th best in MLB
Jorge Mateo
Brian O’Grady
Projected Starting Rotation
Yu Darvish
- Yu Darvish has 71 three-pitch strikeouts since 2019 — tied for 3rd most among pitchers in MLB
- Right-handed batters are hitting just .189 (80-for-424) against Yu Darvish since 2019 — 4th best in MLB
- Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (112 Total Bases / 565 ABs) with two-strikes since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
- Opponents are hitting just .192 (35-for-182) against Yu Darvish with runners in scoring position since 2019 — 11th best in MLB
- Yu Darvish has struck out 37% (173/469) of right-handed batters he faced since 2019 — tied for 2nd best in MLB
- Opponents have a miss rate of 26% (157/594) against Yu Darvish on fastballs since 2019 — 13th best in MLB
- Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .275 (1,024 PA’s) since 2019 — 15th best in MLB
Blake Snell
- Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (496/1,338) against Blake Snell since 2019 — best in MLB
- Opponents have a miss rate of 54% (208/384) against Blake Snell on breaking pitches since 2019 — best in MLB
- Blake Snell has thrown his fastball for a strike 72% (975/1,356) of the time since 2019 — 2nd highest in MLB
- Opponents are hitting just .163 (33-for-202) against Blake Snell’s curve and slider since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB
- Blake Snell has thrown his changeup for a strike just 55% (305/559) of the time since 2019 — 3rd lowest in MLB
Dinelson Lamet
- Opponents are hitting just .098 (25-for-256) against Dinelson Lamet’s non-fastballs since 2019 — best in MLB
- Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (256/528) against Dinelson Lamet on breaking pitches since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB
- Dinelson Lamet has an ERA of 3.11 (142.0 IP) since 2019 — 13th best in MLB
- Dinelson Lamet has thrown his slider 44% of the time (1,007/2,279) since 2019 — 2nd highest in MLB
- Dinelson Lamet has thrown his slider 58% of the time (408/704) with two-strikes since 2019 — 2nd highest in MLB
- Opponents are hitting just .196 (101-for-516) against Dinelson Lamet since 2019 — 5th best in MLB
Chris Paddack
- Hitters have chased 174 of Chris Paddack’s 474 elevated fastballs out of the zone (37%) since 2019 — 3rd highest in MLB
- Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of 1.461 (103 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since 2019 — 6th highest in MLB
- Chris Paddack has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (949/3,243) since 2019 — 8th highest in MLB
- Chris Paddack has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (569/815) since 2019 — highest in MLB
Joe Musgrove
- Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of just .251 (55 Total Bases / 219 ABs) on sliders since 2019 — 6th best in MLB
- Joe Musgrove has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 71% (462/654) of opposing batters since 2019 — tied for 8th highest in MLB
- Joe Musgrove has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 8 double plays in 143 opportunities (6%) since 2019 — tied for 7th lowest in MLB
- Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of just .228 (63 Total Bases / 276 ABs) on low non-fastballs since 2019 — 7th best in MLB
- Joe Musgrove has a first-pitch strike rate of 66% (585/885) since 2019 — tied for 13th highest in MLB
- Opponents are hitting .417 (45-for-108) against Joe Musgrove when he’s behind in the count since 2019 — tied for 11th highest in MLB
Projected Bullpen
Drew Pomeranz
- Opponents are hitting just .197 (14-for-71) against Drew Pomeranz’s inside fastball since 2019 — 15th best in MLB
- Drew Pomeranz has walked 54 of 528 batters (10%) since 2019 — tied for 10th highest in MLB
- Hitters have chased just 79 of Drew Pomeranz’s 367 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since 2019 — lowest in MLB
Emilio Pagan
- Opponents are hitting just .179 (59-for-329) against Emilio Pagan since 2019 — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB
- Emilio Pagan has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (241/352) since 2019 — tied for 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Emilio Pagan has allowed an OBP of just .231 (134 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB
Pierce Johnson
- Pierce Johnson threw his off-speed pitches for a strike 74% (124/168) of the time in 2020 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Opponents had a miss rate of 40% (54/135) against Pierce Johnson this season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB
Matt Strahm
- Matt Strahm has a strike rate of 69% (1,446/2,097) since 2019 — highest in MLB
- Matt Strahm has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 83% (104/125) of left-handed hitters since 2019 — highest in MLB
Mark Melancon
- Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (57/409) against Mark Melancon on pitches in the strike zone since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (165/268) against Mark Melancon since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Mark Melancon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (23 Total Bases / 115 ABs) on non-fastballs since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB
Keone Kela
Insufficient innings thrown over last three seasons
Craig Stammen
- Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (89/547) against Craig Stammen on fastballs since 2019 — 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Craig Stammen has walked 19 of 444 batters (4%) since 2019 — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB
- Opponents are hitting .317 (32-for-101) against Craig Stammen with runners in scoring position since 2019 — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
Javy Guerra
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