2021 Remarkable! Season Preview — Cincinnati Reds

by | Feb 15, 2021 | Baseball, Fantasy

 

Welcome to our Remarkable season preview series for the 2021 season. The Reds lost Trevor Bauer to free agency but their starting nine can go toe to toe with the best in the league. Do they make it back to the playoffs?

 

2020 Record: 31-29 (2nd in NL Central)

 

Reds Hitters

 

Shogo Akiyama

  • Shogo Akiyama slugged just .297 (46 total bases in 155 ABs) in the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Shogo Akiyama averaged 4.49 pitches per plate appearance (821/183) in the 2020 season — 3rd highest in MLB
  • Shogo Akiyama had a groundball rate of 55% (67/121) in the 2020 season — 12th highest among 159 in MLB
  • Shogo Akiyama pulled just 33% of balls he’s put into play (40/121) in the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB

 

Nick Castellanos

  • Nick Castellanos has an OPS of just .630 (329 PA’s) versus relief pitchers since 2019 — 2nd lowest in MLB
  • Nick Castellanos is slugging .717 (71 total bases in 99 ABs) on elevated fastballs since 2019 — 4th best in MLB

  • Nick Castellanos has chased 46% of non-fastballs out of the zone (457/1,005) since 2019 — 5th highest in MLB
  • Nick Castellanos has 115 extra-base hits out of 227 total hits (51%) since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
  • Nick Castellanos is slugging .642 (102 total bases in 159 ABs) against LHP since 2019 — 5th best in MLB
  • Nick Castellanos is slugging .632 (225 total bases in 356 ABs) on fastballs since 2019 — 13th best among 127 in MLB

 

Joey Votto

  • Joey Votto is slugging just .326 (78 total bases in 239 ABs) versus relief pitchers since 2019 — lowest in MLB
  • Joey Votto has a swing rate of just 40% (1,355/3,381) since 2019 — 15th lowest among 127 in MLB
  • Joey Votto is batting just .181 (49-for-271) on non-fastballs since 2019 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Joey Votto has chased just 18% of breaking pitches out of the zone (83/469) since 2019 — 5th lowest in MLB

 

Eugenio Suarez

  • Eugenio Suarez has 41 home runs on fastballs since 2019 — most in MLB

  • Eugenio Suarez has 41 extra-base hits out of 75 total hits (55%) on outside pitches since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB
  • Opponents have used a defensive shift against Eugenio Suarez on 69% of his plate appearances (511/737) since 2019 — 5th highest in MLB
  • Eugenio Suarez is slugging .899 (71 total bases in 79 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since 2019 — 10th best in MLB
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting just .199 (64-for-321) on non-fastballs since 2019 — tied for 12th lowest among 127 in MLB
  • Eugenio Suarez is slugging 1.073 (117 total bases in 109 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since 2019 — best in MLB

 

Mike Moustakas

  • Mike Moustakas has 59 extra-base hits out of 111 total hits (53%) against RHP since 2019 — 7th best in MLB
  • Mike Moustakas is batting just .187 (38-for-203) on breaking pitches since 2019 — 11th lowest among 127 in MLB
  • Mike Moustakas has chased 52% of pitches out of the zone (242/465) with two-strikes since 2019 — 9th highest in MLB
  • Mike Moustakas has an OPS of 1.526 (178 PA’s) when ahead in the count since 2019 — 5th best in MLB

 

Jesse Winker

  • Jesse Winker has hit 15 opposite field home runs since 2019 — tied for 13th most 400 in MLB
  • Jesse Winker has 28 HRs on 97 Flyballs (29% HR/FLY) since 2019 — 12th highest in MLB
  • Jesse Winker has an OBP of .437 (87 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since 2019 — 5th best in MLB

 

Jose Garcia

  • Jose Garcia has no extra-base-hits in his last 68 at-bats — Yuli Gurriel has the longest active streak at 96.
  • Jose Garcia has not drawn a walk in his last 66 PAs dating back to August 28th, 2020 — Javier Baez has the longest active streak at 83.

 

Tucker Barnhart

  • Tucker Barnhart has blocked 95% of balls in the dirt (683/720) since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
  • Tucker Barnhart has a groundball batting average of just .130 (7 GB hits out of 54 GBs) against the shift since 2019 — 7th lowest in MLB
  • Tucker Barnhart made 8 non-routine plays in the 2020 season — tied for 4th most in MLB

 

Bench

 

Tyler Stephenson

 

Kyle Farmer

 

Nick Senzel

  • Nick Senzel has come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 91 of his 491 plate appearances (18%) since 2019 — tied for 4th lowest in MLB

 

Aristides Aquino

 

Kyle Holder

 

Dee Strange-Gordon

  • Dee Strange-Gordon has 22 extra-base hits out of 123 total hits (just 18%) since the start of the 2019 season — lowest in MLB
  • Dee Strange-Gordon has made 16 diving plays since the start of the 2019 season — 7th most in MLB
  • Dee Strange-Gordon has a groundball rate of 55% (220/403) since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 13th highest in MLB
  • Dee Strange-Gordon has a Well-Hit Avg of just .094 (44/468) since the start of the 2019 season — 4th lowest in MLB

 

Projected Starting Rotation

 

Sonny Gray

  • Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .498 (241 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since 2019 — best in MLB

  • Opponents are hitting just .147 (62-for-421) against Sonny Gray’s non-fastballs since 2019 — 5th best in MLB
  • Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .606 (943 PA’s) since 2019 — 7th best in MLB 
  • Sonny Gray has an ERA of 3.07 (231.1 IP) since 2019 — 12th best in MLB
  • Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .166 (80 Total Bases / 481 ABs) with two-strikes since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB 
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .144 (119/829) against Sonny Gray since 2019 — tied for 14th best in MLB 
  • Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (50/291) against Sonny Gray since 2019 — 3rd lowest in MLB
  • Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (297/563) against Sonny Gray since 2019 — 13th highest in MLB

 

Luis Castillo

  • Opponents have a miss rate of 46% (370/810) against Luis Castillo on changeups since 2019 — best in MLB

  • Luis Castillo has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (1,373/4,311) since 2019 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB
  • Hitters have chased 393 of Luis Castillo’s 889 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 44%) since 2019 — 10th highest in MLB
  • Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .211 (91 Total Bases / 431 ABs) on low non-fastballs since 2019 — tied for 4th best in MLB 
  • Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (370/647) against Luis Castillo since 2019 — 4th highest in MLB
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (728/2,081) against Luis Castillo since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB

 

Tyler Mahle

  • Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of .562 (68 Total Bases / 121 ABs) with runners in scoring position since 2019 — 12th highest in MLB 
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .070 (9/128) against Tyler Mahle on inside fastballs since 2019 — 2nd best in MLB 
  • Tyler Mahle has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 74% (223/303) of right-handed hitters since 2019 — tied for 5th highest in MLB
  • Tyler Mahle has thrown fastballs up 55% of the time (951/1,729) since 2019 — 8th highest in MLB
  • Tyler Mahle has a first-pitch strike rate of 67% (505/757) since 2019 — 9th highest in MLB 

 

Wade Miley

  • Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 48% of the time (1,559/3,253) since 2019 — highest in MLB
  • Wade Miley has allowed an OBP of .410 (300 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 3rd highest in MLB
  • Wade Miley has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (440/788) since 2019 — 6th lowest in MLB
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .074 (5/68) against inside fastballs from Wade Miley since 2019 — 3rd best in MLB
  • Wade Miley has a strike rate of just 60% (1,966/3,253) since 2019 — 4th lowest in MLB

 

Michael Lorenzen

  • Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .843 (97 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since 2019 — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Left-handed hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of just .117 (23/196) against Michael Lorenzen since 2019 — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .079 (14/177) against Michael Lorenzen on non-fastballs since 2019 — tied for 13th best among among 149 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (18/111) against Michael Lorenzen on non-fastballs since 2019 — 14th lowest among among 127 qualified RPs in MLB

 

 

Projected Bullpen

 

Amir Garrett

  • Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (221/557) against Amir Garrett since 2019 — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Amir Garrett has a strike rate of just 60% (770/1,277) since 2019 — 12th lowest among among 182 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Amir Garrett has walked 42 of 315 batters (13%) since 2019 — tied for 13th highest among among 182 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Amir Garrett has thrown his slider 71% of the time (277/388) with two-strikes since 2019 — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .112 (18-for-161) against Amir Garrett with two-strikes since 2019 — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents are hitting just .124 (20-for-161) against Amir Garrett on sliders since 2019 — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Lucas Sims

  • Opponents are hitting just .181 (44-for-243) against Lucas Sims since 2019 — 11th best among among 182 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .042 (5/118) against breaking balls from Lucas Sims since 2019 — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (27/154) against Lucas Sims since 2019 — 12th lowest among among 182 qualified RPs in MLB
  • Lucas Sims has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (119/280) on the first pitch of at-bats since 2019 — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Sean Doolittle

  • Sean Doolittle has thrown elevated pitches 63% of the time (271/433) with two-strikes since the start of the 2019 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Sean Doolittle has a strike rate of 70% (837/1,202) since the start of the 2019 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .221 (60/272) against Sean Doolittle since the start of the 2019 season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Tejay Antone

  • Tejay Antone allowed an OBP of just .209 (67 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2020 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents batted just .122 (10-for-82) against Tejay Antone’s non-fastballs in the 2020 season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 41% (45/111) against Tejay Antone in the 2020 season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Tejay Antone had a first-pitch strike rate of 65% (92/142) in the 2020 season — 15th highest among among 109 qualified RPs in MLB

 

Jeff Hoffman

  • Jeff Hoffman had an ERA of 9.70 (21.1 IP) in the 2020 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents batted .352 (32-for-91) against Jeff Hoffman in the 2020 season — tied for 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Jeff Hoffman allowed a BABIP of .414 in the 2020 season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB

 

Noe Ramirez

  • Noe Ramirez has allowed an OPS of just .503 (134 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB
  • Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (120/263) against Noe Ramirez with two-strikes since 2019 — 11th highest among among 125 qualified RPs in MLB

 

Sal Romano

 

 

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