Welcome to our Remarkable season preview series for the 2021 season. The Cubs traded away their ace pitcher away in Yu Darvish, but they can still field a competitive team in a tight NL Central race.
2020 Record: 34-26 (1st in NL Central)
Cubs Hitters
Ian Happ
- Ian Happ missed on 36% of swings (146/406) in the 2020 season — 12th highest among 159 in MLB
- Ian Happ slugged .660 (31 total bases in 47 ABs) on breaking pitches against RHP in the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB
- Ian Happ batted just .123 (7-for-57) with two outs in the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB
- Ian Happ had 22 extra-base hits out of 39 total hits (56%) against RHP in the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB
Anthony Rizzo
- Anthony Rizzo has an OBP of .398 (530 PA’s) against starting pitchers since 2019 — 5th best in MLB
- Anthony Rizzo is batting .265 (41-for-155) on low breaking pitches since 2019 — 15th best among 127 in MLB
- Anthony Rizzo has an OPS of just .595 (105 PA’s) against left-handed relievers since 2019 — 10th lowest in MLB
- Anthony Rizzo is slugging .441 (178 total bases in 404 ABs) in pitcher’s counts since 2019 — 14th best among 127 in MLB
- Anthony Rizzo has seen 8+ pitches in 39 PA’s since 2019 — tied for 10th most in MLB
- Anthony Rizzo has an OBP of .387 (856 PA’s) since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
Kris Bryant
- Kris Bryant has an OBP of .427 (164 PA’s) against LHP since 2019 — 9th best in MLB
- Kris Bryant has made 18 diving plays since 2019 — tied for 3rd most in MLB
- Kris Bryant has a Well-Hit Avg of just .162 (109/674) since 2019 — 13th lowest among 127 in MLB
- Kris Bryant is slugging .855 (71 total bases in 83 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since 2019 — tied for 14th best in MLB
Willson Contreras
- Willson Contreras is batting just .160 (17-for-106) on pitches 95 mph or greater since 2019 — 2nd lowest in MLB
- Willson Contreras has missed on 27% of swings (173/650) on fastballs since 2019 — 11th highest in MLB
- Willson Contreras had a Well-Hit Avg of just .069 (5/72) on breaking pitches in the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB
- Willson Contreras missed on 49% of swings (86/176) on non-fastballs in the 2020 season — 3rd highest in MLB
Javier Baez
- Javier Baez has a K:BB ratio of 7.4 (185/25) against RHP since 2019 — highest in MLB
- Javier Baez has missed on 31% of swings (220/700) on fastballs since 2019 — 2nd highest in MLB
- Javier Baez has chased 51% of non-fastballs out of the zone down (369/722) since 2019 — 5th highest in MLB
- Javier Baez has made 91% of defensive plays since 2019 — 10th best in MLB
- Javier Baez is slugging .438 (128 total bases in 292 ABs) on low non-fastballs since 2019 — 15th best among 127 in MLB
Joc Pederson
- Joc Pederson has 30 home runs on fastballs against RHP since the start of the 2019 season — 3rd most in MLB
- Joc Pederson has 43 home runs against RHP since the start of the 2019 season — 6th most in MLB
- Joc Pederson is slugging .569 (153 total bases in 269 ABs) on outside pitches since the start of the 2019 season — 2nd best in MLB
- Joc Pederson is batting just .124 (21-for-170) on low non-fastballs since the start of the 2019 season — 4th lowest in MLB
- Joc Pederson is slugging .820 (105 total bases in 128 ABs) on pitches 95 mph or greater since the start of the 2019 season — best in MLB
Jason Heyward
- Jason Heyward has an OPS of just .557 (162 PA’s) against LHP since 2019 — lowest in MLB
- Jason Heyward is batting .336 (41-for-122) on pitches 95 mph or greater since 2019 — tied for 11th best among 127 in MLB
- Jason Heyward has a Well-Hit Avg of .222 (58/261) on outside pitches since 2019 — 13th best among 127 in MLB
David Bote
- David Bote has a Well-Hit Avg of just .068 (8/117) on low breaking pitches since 2019 — 12th lowest in MLB
- David Bote made 5 non-routine plays out of 11 chances (46%) in the 2020 season — tied for 7th best in MLB
- David Bote chased just 8% of elevated fastballs out of the zone (8/95) in the 2020 season — 4th lowest in MLB
- David Bote drove in 18 runs with two outs in the 2020 season — tied for 12th most 459 in MLB
Nico Hoerner
- Nico Hoerner had 4 extra-base hits out of 24 total hits (just 17%) in the 2020 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB
- Nico Hoerner had a Well-Hit Avg of just .048 (1/21) on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2020 season — 6th lowest in MLB
- Nico Hoerner slugged just .259 (28 total bases in 108 ABs) in the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB
Bench
Austin Romine
Matt Duffy
- Matt Duffy has 5 HRs in 650 ABs (130.0 AB/HR) since the start of 2018 — 7th highest AB per HR rate in MLB
- Matt Duffy has a groundball rate of 64% (132/208) with two-strikes since the start of 2018 — 2nd highest in MLB
- Matt Duffy has a groundball rate of 55% (292/532) since the start of 2018 — tied for 8th highest in MLB
Ildemaro Vargas
Phillip Ervin
- Phillip Ervin slugged just .189 (14 total bases in 74 ABs) in the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB
- Phillip Ervin had a Well-Hit Avg of just .068 (5/74) in the 2020 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB
- Phillip Ervin pulled 58% of balls he’s put into play (30/52) in the 2020 season — 14th highest in MLB
Projected Starting Rotation
Kyle Hendricks
- Opponents have a chase percentage of 47% (305/651) against Kyle Hendricks with two-strikes since 2019 — tied for 3rd highest in MLB
- Left-handed hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of just .133 (63/475) against Kyle Hendricks since 2019 — 8th best in MLB
- Kyle Hendricks has a first-pitch strike rate of 67% (696/1,046) since 2019 — 11th highest in MLB
- Hitters have chased 279 of Kyle Hendricks’ 601 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 46%) since 2019 — 6th highest in MLB
- Opponents have a chase percentage of 33% (616/1,868) against Kyle Hendricks since 2019 — 13th highest in MLB
- Kyle Hendricks has thrown fastballs 60% of the time (2,312/3,860) since 2019 — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB
Zach Davies
- Zach Davies has located his changeup low 84% of the time (1,061/1,262) since 2019 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB
- Zach Davies has an average fastball velocity of just 88.4 MPH since 2019 — 6th lowest in MLB
- Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (803/1,910) against Zach Davies since 2019 — 2nd lowest in MLB
- Opponents are hitting .340 (35-for-103) against Zach Davies’ inside fastball since 2019 — 9th highest in MLB
- Zach Davies has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 49% (168/341) of left-handed hitters since 2019 — 4th lowest in MLB
- Opponents are hitting just .198 (32-for-162) against Zach Davies when going through the lineup the third time in a game since 2019 — 5th best in MLB
Alec Mills
- Alec Mills allowed an OPS of .888 (151 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2020 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB
- Alec Mills allowed a slugging percentage of just .241 (19 Total Bases / 79 ABs) on non-fastballs in the 2020 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB
- Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of 35% (79/223) against Alec Mills in the 2020 season — 13th highest in MLB
- Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (45/267) against Alec Mills in non-two strike counts in the 2020 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB
Adbert Alzolay
Trevor Williams
- Left-handed batters are hitting .309 (113-for-366) against Trevor Williams since the start of the 2019 season — 4th highest in MLB
- Hitters have swung at 53% of Trevor Williams’ fastballs (1,095/2,071) since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB
- Opponents are hitting .306 (56-for-183) against Trevor Williams with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2019 season — 13th highest in MLB
- Trevor Williams has located his non-fastball low 86% of the time (1,094/1,272) since the start of the 2019 season — highest in MLB
- Trevor Williams has an ERA of 5.60 (201.0 IP) since the start of the 2019 season — 14th highest in MLB
Projected Bullpen
Craig Kimbrel
- Craig Kimbrel walked 12 of 69 batters (17%) in the 2020 season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Craig Kimbrel threw his curveball 38% of the time (113/300) in the 2020 season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Craig Kimbrel had a strikeout rate of 41% (28/69) in the 2020 season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB
Rowan Wick
- Opponents had a Well-Hit Avg of .273 (12/44) against Rowan Wick’s fastball in the 2020 season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Rowan Wick threw his curveball 45% of the time (33/73) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2020 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
Andrew Chafin
- Andrew Chafin has a strike rate of just 57% (229/398) on sliders since the start of the 2019 season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Opponents are hitting just .104 (8-for-77) against Andrew Chafin on low non-fastballs since the start of the 2019 season — tied for 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB
- Opponents are hitting .375 (21-for-56) against Andrew Chafin on inside fastballs since the start of the 2019 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB
Jason Adam
Duane Underwood Jr.
Kyle Ryan
- Left-handed hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of just .119 (14/118) against Kyle Ryan since 2019 — 12th best among among 102 qualified RPs in MLB
- Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (81/121) against Kyle Ryan’s fastball since 2019 — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB
- Kyle Ryan has allowed an OPS of just .578 (116 PA’s) versus the top of the order since 2019 — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB
Dan Winkler
- Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 25 ABs ending on a two-strike fastball from Dan Winkler.
- Dan Winkler threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (29/56) of opposing batters in the 2020 season — 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB
Brad Wieck
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