Sammy Watkins, Chris Thompson, and Case Keenum all burst onto the scene for huge point totals in Week 3. Who is the next sleeper? Who should sit? We turn to Remarkable! to give us its predictions:
QUARTERBACKS
Carson Palmer (ARI) has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.94% of 170 attempts since week 16 of last season — fifth best among qualified QBs. The former number one overall pick looks to capitalize on a San Francisco defense that allowed 20+ yards on 11.09% of attempts last season (NFL Rank: second worst in NFL; League Avg: 8.74%).
Aaron Rodgers (GB) has averaged 5 TDs per Interception since week 8 of last season — second best among qualified QBs. Green Bay will face a Chicago defense that allowed 3 TDs per Interception last season (NFL Rank: fourth worst among teams).
Jameis Winston (TB) has been underwhelming since week 12 of last season with a passer rating of just 79.0 (NFL Rank: 23rd among qualified QBs), and will square off against the Giants, who as a team, allowed a defensive passer rating of just 79.0 last season (NFL Rank: 3rd of 32).
Derek Carr (OAK) had a tough game against the Redskins last Sunday, tallying only 188 yards and one TD. Don’t look for much improvement as Oakland will face a Denver defense, which allowed just 202 passing yards per game last season (NFL Rank: 1st of 32).
RUNNING BACKS
Cincinnati seems committed to getting Joe Mixon (CIN) the ball more often. They doubled his carries in Week 3, and Mixon will try to take advantage of a Cleveland defense that allowed 20 rushing TDs last season (NFL Rank: second most of 32).
James White (NE) wasn’t much of a factor against the Texans last week but will look for a bounce back game this Sunday. He has been targeted 100 times since the start of last season (NFL Rank: 3rd among RBs) and will face Carolina, who allowed 115 receptions to RBs last season (NFL Rank: 2nd most in NFL).
Devonta Freeman (ATL) has 63 rushing attempts in the Red Zone since the start of last season (NFL Rank: 2nd among RBs). Look for him to find the end zone as he will face Buffalo, who allowed 17 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season (NFL Rank: 3rd most).
WIDE RECEIVERS
While unlikely to replicate his monster Week 3, Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) could still be a top scorer. He has been targeted 9 times in the Red Zone since week 16 of last season (NFL Rank: 1st among WRs) and will face San Francisco, who allowed 18 receiving touchdowns to WRs in the Red Zone last season (NFL Rank: 3rd most).
Pierre Garcon (SF) caught seven passes for 142 yards in Week 3. He will face an Arizona defense that allowed an average of 13 fantasy points to its opponent’s top scoring WR last season — sixth worst in the league. Look for another big performance this week from San Francisco’s top wideout.
Ted Ginn (NO) showed off his big play ability last week with his first Saints TD coming on a 40-yard pass. He will face a Miami defense that allowed an average of 15 fantasy points to its opponent’s top scoring WR last season — worst in the league (League Avg: 12).
J.J. Nelson (ARI) went missing against the Cowboys on Monday Night, failing to catch any of the three passes that were thrown his way. He has a much easier matchup this week as, like Fitzgerald, he will face San Francisco’s defense.
TIGHT ENDS
Even though Kyle Rudolph (MIN) has just one TD this year, he may be a good play this week. The 6’6” Vikings TE has been targeted 28 times in the Red Zone since the start of last season (NFL Rank: 1st among TEs). Minnesota will face Detroit, who allowed 10 receiving touchdowns to TEs in the Red Zone last season (NFL Rank: 3rd most of 32).
Cameron Brate (TB) is starting to look like a nice weapon for Jameis Winston, catching four passes including a TD against a tough Vikings defense in Week 3. He will face a much more favorable matchup against a New York Giants defense that has allowed an average of 7 fantasy points to its opponent’s top scoring TE last season — sixth worst in the league (League Avg: 6). Brate could have a nice game if Winston has trouble getting the ball downfield.
Marcedes Lewis (JAC) exploded for three TDs last week after not recording a reception in either of the first two games of the season. Lewis is the clear number one TE for Jacksonville and he will face a Jets defense that allowed an average of 7 fantasy points to its opponent’s top scoring TE last season — seventh worst in the league (League Avg: 6).
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