New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons
Super Bowl Prediction? Well, there are plenty of those out there. But, if you’re looking for a few good nuggets to make you sound like you know what you’re talking about at Sunday’s Super Bowl party, we’ve got you covered here. Enjoy the game!
Matchup Notes
Atlanta scored 139 points in the first quarter during the regular season. The Falcons will face a New England defense which allowed just 35 first quarter points during the regular season and two playoff games.
Atlanta’s offense had 36 TD drives of 75 or more yard during the regular season. The Patriots defense allowed just 13 such drives this year.
Atlanta scored in 56 of 64 quarters during the regular season and in seven of eight quarters of the playoffs. New England’s defense held opponents scoreless in 24 quarters during the regular season and in three of eight quarters in the post-season.
Tom Brady and Matt Ryan rank #1 and #2 respectively in Passer Rating against the blitz:
Julian Edelman had 98 receptions during the regular season (6.1 per game) — fifth best among WRs. Atlanta allowed 14.1 receptions per game to WRs (fifth worst in NFL).
Tom Brady (NE) has thrown for 48 touchdowns in the Red Zone since 2015 (NFL Rank: 2nd among QBs). The Falcons allowed 25 passing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season (NFL Rank: 30th of 32).
Julio Jones (ATL) has gained 20 or more yards on 32.5% of 83 receptions this season — best among qualified WRs. New England has allowed 20+ yards on 20.9% of receptions this season (NFL Rank: fifth worst of 32; League Avg: 17.0%).
Devonta Freeman (ATL) has been targeted 162 times since 2015 (NFL Rank: 3rd among RBs). The Patriots have allowed 731 receiving yards to RBs this season (NFL Rank: fourth worst).
New England Patriots
New England outscored opponents by 98 points (130–32) in the first quarter during the regular season.
The Patriots scored in 46 of 48 quarters in the 12 games started by QB Tom Brady this season.
Tom Brady completed just 30.2% of passes (16 completions/53 attempts) when hurried this season (NFL Rank: 31st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 40.8%)
Tom Brady had a passer rating of 127.7 on 3rd down (123 Pass Attempts) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 85.9)
Tom Brady completed passes for 20 or more yards on 11 of his 60 attempts (18.3%) on 3rd and long this season (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 9.1%)
Tom Brady had a passer rating of 117.1 on plays out of the shotgun (317 Pass Attempts) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 87.4)
Tom Brady completed 69.2% of passes (45 completions/65 attempts) on plays in the red zone during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 55.4%)
Tom Brady averaged 14.4 Yards per Completion (621 yards/43 completions) in close and late situations this season (NFL Rank: 2nd of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 11.5)
LeGarrette Blount had 71 rushing attempts on plays in the red zone during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 34 Qualified RBs)
LeGarrette Blount rushed for 13 TDs on 56 carries (4.3 Carries Per TD) in short yardage situations during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 2nd of 32 Qualified RBs; League Avg: 8.5)
LeGarrette Blount rushed for 720 yards on 1st down during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 6th of 105 Qualified RBs)
Julian Edelman was targeted 90 times in the 1st half of games during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 100 Qualified WRs)
Julian Edelman averaged a touchdown every 32.7 receptions (98 Rec/3 TDs) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 38th of 38 Qualified WRs; League Avg: 13.1)
Martellus Bennett had 55 receptions on 73 targets (75.3% Reception Pct) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 2nd of 34 Qualified TEs; League Avg: 66.3%)
Martellus Bennett averaged 14.7 Yards per Reception (383 yards/26 catches) in the 2nd Half during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 2nd of 34 Qualified TEs; League Avg: 11.0)
The Patriots defense allowed six rushing TDs on 365 carries (60.8 Carries Per TD) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 32; League Avg: 29.2)
The Patriots defense allowed opponents to rush for 20 or more yards on just three of their 365 carries (0.8%) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 32; League Avg: 2.4%)
The Patriots defense allowed passes of 40 or more yards on just five of 596 attempts (0.8%) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 3rd of 32; League Avg: 1.6%)
The Patriots defense allowed 7.9 Yards per Completion (262 yards/33 completions) on plays in the red zone during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 31st of 32; League Avg: 6.9)
Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons scored TDs on their first possession in each of their last six regular season games.
Atlanta allowed 26 TD drives of 75 or more yards in the first 10 games of the regular season but only six in the final six games
The Falcons have scored during the 2nd Quarter in every game they’ve played this season. They scored 157 points during the 2nd Quarter in the regular season, 19 against Seattle in the Divisional Round and 14 against Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game.
The Falcons outscored opponents by an average of 11.9 points over the first three quarters during the regular season, but were outscored in the 4th Quarter by an average of 2.9 points. (They were outscored 156–109 in the 4th Quarter during the regular season.)
Matt Ryan had a passer rating of 117.1 (534 Pass Attempts) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 89.2)
Matt Ryan completed 71.2% of passes (89 completions/125 attempts) on 3rd down this season (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 59.0%)
Matt Ryan completed passes for 20 or more yards on 69 of his 534 attempts (12.9%) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 8.7%)
Matt Ryan completed passes for 40 or more yards on 17 of his 534 attempts (3.2%) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 1.6%)
Matt Ryan (ATL) was not intercepted (58 pass attempts) when hurried this season (NFL Rank: 1st of 32 Qualified QBs; League Avg: 29.4)
Devonta Freeman had 53 rushing attempts on plays in the red zone during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 3rd of 34 Qualified RBs)
Devonta Freeman picked up first downs on 27.3% of his rushing attempts during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 4th of 36 Qualified RBs; League Avg: 21.8%)
Devonta Freeman had 54 receptions on 65 targets (83.1% Reception Pct) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 4th of 34 Qualified RBs; League Avg: 74.4%)
Devonta Freeman (ATL) averaged 3.6 yards before contact per carry (60 carries) with tight end on both sides of line this season (NFL Rank: 1st of 33 Qualified RBs; League Avg: 1.6)
Tevin Coleman averaged 13.6 Yards per Reception (421 yards/31 catches) on 40 targets during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 34 Qualified RBs; League Avg: 8.0)
Tevin Coleman rushed for eight TDs on 118 carries (14.8 Carries Per TD) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 36 Qualified RBs; League Avg: 32.2)
Julio Jones had 820 Receiving Yards on 1st down during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 151 Qualified WRs)
Julio Jones gained 20 or more yards on 27 of his 83 receptions (32.5%) during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 1st of 37 Qualified WRs; League Avg: 17.0%)
Julio Jones had just eight receptions on 23 targets (34.8% Reception Pct) in close and late situations during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 34th of 34 Qualified WRs; League Avg: 58.8%)
Falcons opponents have attempted 40.9 passes per game this season (NFL Rank: 1st of 32; League Avg: 35.7)
The Falcons defense allowed first downs on 39.7% of plays in the red zone during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 32nd of 32; League Avg: 30.3%)
The Falcons defense did not force a turnover (153 plays) in close and late situations during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 32nd of 32; League Avg: 2.6%)
The Falcons defense allowed a Completion Pct of 66.7% (54 completions/81 attempts) on 3rd and long during the regular season. (NFL Rank: 30th of 32; League Avg: 58.9%)
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